According to the latest generic polls, Democrats lead by 43.9% to 41.3% for Republicans, 2.6% separates them which is in the margin of error for most polls. Both parties slipped since Oct 18 when it was 44.3% Democrat to 41.5% Republican.
States are moving slowly through the reapportionment process.
Six states have now finalized their redrawn congressional maps for the 2020s: Oregon, Maine, Nebraska, Indiana, West Virginia and, most recently, Texas. Democrats have gained seven seats nationally from the redistricting process so far, Republicans have gained one, and the number of competitive seats has dropped by six. Some of this is because Republicans lost a seat due to reapportionment in West Virginia and Oregon Democrats were able to use their control of the redistricting process to draw a significantly more favorable map for themselves, but it is also due to Texas Republicans giving Democratic incumbents safer districts in exchange for shoring up their own seats. But voting-rights advocates are already suing over the map, so this may not be the end of the redistricting saga in the Lone Star State.
A few other states also appear to be close to finalizing their congressional maps. Colorado’s new independent commission has settled on a map to submit to the state Supreme Court; the map would add a competitive, slightly GOP-leaning district with the seat Colorado gained in reapportionment. And in Arkansas, the governor will allow the state legislature’s map to become law without his signature, but that map could get challenged in court as well.
Finally, the redistricting process is just getting started in Illinois, but it could have a significant impact on the composition of Congress. Over the weekend, legislators released an updated proposed congressional map, and it creates an even stronger advantage for Democrats than their first proposal. If this map becomes law, it would likely net Democrats two House seats and set up multiple incumbent-vs.-incumbent primaries next year.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/re ... id=rrpromo
Battles between the two parties over bills is expected, but if Democrats can't can't unify and pass the Infrastructure Bill in the House and the BBB Bill in the Senate, it says to voters that Democrats are too divided to govern.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan